The government has moved to shut down schools with zero Grade 10 enrollment, sparking national anxiety and fierce debate. Education Cabinet Secretary Julius Migos Ogamba issued the warning on Tuesday during a live radio interview, saying empty classrooms can no longer be tolerated.
He linked the crackdown to sweeping reforms that will devolve high-demand schools to counties and expand quality facilities in every ward. The plan targets fairness, shorter travel, and equal access, but it has rattled principals, teachers, and parents who fear closures, job losses, and funding cuts looming.

Why Zero Grade 10 Enrollment Will Trigger School Closures
The Ministry of Education has adopted a tough, student-driven system. Learners choose their schools. The government only facilitates the process.
Ogamba said this reality leaves some institutions exposed. Several schools reported receiving no Grade 10 applications at all. He said the ministry cannot force students into places they reject. If no learner selects a school, the government will not keep it open.
He spoke bluntly. Empty schools mean wasted public money. They also signal broken trust between communities and institutions. Closure, he said, will become the last resort where numbers remain at zero.
The CS tied this policy to a wider national reform. He noted that demand clusters around a handful of elite schools. Tens of thousands of students fight for a few hundred places. This imbalance, he argued, fuels desperation, long travel, and unfair competition.
Ogamba proposed a radical fix. The government plans to replicate high-quality schools in every ward. Each ward should have a “super school” with strong facilities, modern labs, and trained teachers. This move aims to reduce pressure on national schools while lifting standards everywhere.
Implementation will roll out gradually. Counties with the highest demand for national schools will move first. The ministry will monitor progress closely and adjust where necessary.
Even as management shifts to counties, national standards will stay intact. The ministry will maintain oversight, teacher quality, and learning outcomes. Ogamba said devolution will not mean dilution of quality.
Devolution of high-demand schools and Grade 10 Enrollment
Devolution sits at the heart of the Grade 10 enrollment strategy. The government believes local management can respond faster to community needs.
County-run schools will receive more resources and clearer accountability. Local leaders will track enrolment, infrastructure, and performance in real time.
This approach also aims to cut travel distances. Many learners currently cross counties to chase prestige schools. The new model keeps students closer to home without sacrificing quality.
Congestion in top schools should also fall sharply. When every ward hosts a strong institution, fewer students will crowd limited spaces.
Ogamba insisted that fairness must replace hierarchy. No child, he said, should lose opportunity because their nearest school lacks facilities. Devolution seeks to level the playing field across urban and rural areas.
Rural schools, door-to-door drive, and 100 percent transition
Despite the reforms, tension has risen in low-enrollment schools. Some campuses remain nearly empty weeks after admission opened. Teachers worry about redeployment. Heads fear budget cuts.
Many principals pushed back. They argued that their schools follow the same national curriculum as elite institutions. They blamed negative perception rather than poor performance. In their view, reputation, not quality, drives school choice.
The ministry acknowledged these fears but refused to back down. Ogamba said the government will protect learners first, not buildings with no students.
At the same time, the state has launched an aggressive push to boost reporting. Officials and local leaders now conduct door-to-door campaigns urging families to send learners to school before the Wednesday deadline.
Current admission stands at about 75 percent. Ogamba expects it to exceed 90 percent by the cut-off date. He expressed confidence that most learners will report in time.
The ministry also promised practical support. Officials are working to reduce barriers such as school fees, uniforms, and hidden charges. Guidance and counseling teams are visiting hesitant families to explain options.
Still, the threat of closure hangs heavy. Schools with zero Grade 10 enrollment face a clear ultimatum. Fill the classrooms or shut the gates.
The government has drawn a hard line. Quality, equity, and efficiency now trump tradition and comfort. The coming weeks will reveal which schools adapt, survive, or disappear.












