The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) has warned of sustained heavy rainfall across several regions, including the coastal and northeastern counties of Kwale, Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Mandera, and parts of Taita Taveta, Tana River, Garissa, and Wajir. KMSA Director Edward Muriuki emphasized that the enhanced rainfall could increase the risk of flash floods, riverine flooding, landslides, and infrastructure damage, particularly in low-lying coastal zones, flood-prone river basins, and urban areas with inadequate drainage. "The likelihood of weather-related hazards is rising," Muriuki stated, highlighting the vulnerability of steep highland areas and poorly drained settlements.",
The forecast indicates above-average rainfall in the Eastern, Southeastern lowlands, and Central regions, affecting counties such as Nairobi, Makueni, Kajiado, and others. Muriuki noted that near-average to above-average rainfall is expected in 28 counties, including Baringo, Kakamega, and Turkana, during October. He warned that stagnant water could exacerbate mosquito breeding, raising the risk of malaria and waterborne diseases in areas with compromised sanitation. Additionally, road networks face disruption from flooding and erosion, with rural access roads and urban drainage systems particularly at risk.",
While the rains are expected to replenish water sources and improve agricultural conditions, Muriuki cautioned that excessive rainfall could lead to waterlogging, delayed farming activities, and crop diseases. The KMSA also highlighted that the rainfall season, which began in September for lake basin and western rift valley counties, will persist into January 2024. Coastal regions like Mombasa and the Tana Delta will see rain cessation by late December, while northeastern counties such as Mandera and Wajir will experience rainfall starting this week, ending in December. The director urged communities to monitor updates and implement preventive measures to mitigate risks.",
The KMSA’s forecast underscores the dual impact of the rains: while they offer relief to arid regions by replenishing water resources, they also pose significant challenges to infrastructure, public health, and agriculture. Authorities are advising residents in affected areas to stay informed and take precautions to reduce vulnerability to flooding and related hazards.