Botswana Faces Second Moody’s Downgrade, Ghana Unveils New Cedi Amid Inflation Concerns

Botswana faces second Moody's downgrade, Ghana unveils new cedi amid inflation risks as African markets navigate economic shifts.

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Nyakundi Report

Newsroom 4 min read

Primary source BusinessDay Nigeria

Botswana has been downgraded for the second time in 12 months by Moody’s, which cut its long-term domestic- and foreign-currency issuer ratings to Baa2 from Baa1, according to a report. The move follows a prolonged decline in global diamond prices, which has weakened government revenues and strained public finances. The African diamond producer now sits two notches above non-investment grade, raising concerns about its fiscal resilience and economic diversification efforts.

Ghana is set to introduce a new series of cedi banknotes in November, marking the first redesign in over two decades. The Bank of Ghana’s Governor, Johnson Asiama, announced the initiative during the central bank’s 132nd Monetary Policy Committee meeting. The new Heritage Series features enhanced security features, improved durability, and designs reflecting the nation’s cultural heritage. The redesign aims to bolster confidence in the currency amid years of depreciation and inflationary pressures.

Ethiopia’s securities market expanded as Sidama Bank became the seventh company to list on the Ethiopia Securities Exchange (ESX). The bank began trading under the symbol SIDAX on the ESX Main Market, with initial shares opening at Br1,300. While trading volumes were low, the listing signals progress in the country’s financial-sector liberalization program, offering new capital opportunities for investors and strengthening the nascent public equities market.

Dangote Refinery’s initial public offering (IPO) is broadening its African footprint, with Zimbabwe gaining regulatory approval for local investors to participate. The Financial Securities Exchange of Zimbabwe announced the green light for a regional depositary receipt program, enabling local investors to access the IPO through Southern African infrastructure. This follows similar efforts by Rwanda and Kenya to facilitate cross-border participation, positioning the Dangote IPO as a pan-African investment opportunity.

African economies saw mixed inflation trends in August, with nine of 16 tracked nations recording lower annual inflation compared to July. Mozambique, Côte d’Ivoire, and Angola led the declines, while Nigeria, Egypt, and Ethiopia also saw reductions. However, rising global oil prices above $100 per barrel threaten to reverse these gains, particularly for net oil-importing countries facing higher fuel and transport costs.

Zimbabwe’s central bank has maintained its 750 basis point rate cuts in 2026, yet borrowing costs remain the highest on the continent. Meanwhile, Nigeria’s foreign exchange inflows totaled $10.8 billion, with $7.3 billion driven by autonomous sources, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria. The inflows aim to ease business arrears and stabilize the currency.

Kenyan investors may also access the Dangote Refinery IPO through global depositary receipts, further expanding the offering’s regional reach. These developments underscore efforts to integrate Africa’s fragmented capital markets and enhance access to major corporate listings across the continent.

The combined challenges of fiscal pressures, currency reforms, and energy price volatility highlight the complex economic landscape facing African nations. While some markets show resilience, the interplay of global and local factors continues to shape policy responses and investor confidence.

Botswana’s fiscal dependence on diamonds remains a critical vulnerability, as the country seeks to balance public spending with economic diversification. The Moody’s downgrade underscores the need for structural reforms to reduce commodity-driven risks and build long-term stability.

Ghana’s cedi redesign reflects broader efforts to strengthen monetary policy and restore public trust in the currency. The Bank of Ghana’s initiative aligns with regional trends of modernizing financial systems to support economic growth and attract investment.

Ethiopia’s expanding stock market signals progress in financial sector development, though liquidity and trading depth remain key challenges. The Sidama Bank listing highlights the potential for African markets to serve as platforms for capital accumulation and investor participation.

Dangote Refinery’s pan-African IPO strategy illustrates the growing interconnectedness of African capital markets. By enabling cross-border participation, the offering could redefine how African companies access regional and international investors.

The inflation outlook for Africa remains cautiously optimistic, with central banks navigating the dual challenge of maintaining price stability and supporting economic recovery. The resurgence of oil prices adds a layer of uncertainty, testing the effectiveness of monetary policies across the continent.

As African economies adapt to shifting global dynamics, the focus on fiscal discipline, currency stability, and market integration will be critical. The recent developments underscore the region’s resilience and the ongoing efforts to build more robust and inclusive financial systems.

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