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When will we have fully-autonomous cars? Not for decades, experts say.

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Nyakundi Report

Newsroom 2 min read

This archive report was first published on 29 August 2019.

Published on August 29, 2019, experts in the field of self-driving technology are cautioning that fully-autonomous cars are still several decades away.

According to Bryan Reimer, a researcher at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, there is a significant amount of confusion in the general public about the capabilities of self-driving vehicles. In a recent survey, 23% of respondents believed that a self-driving vehicle was available for purchase today.

Reimer attributes this misconception to statements made by Elon Musk and other industry leaders, who have talked about the potential for driverless cars. However, these systems are still in the early stages of development and are meant to assist drivers, not replace them.

One of the biggest challenges facing the development of fully-autonomous cars is the state of our roads. In the United States, many roads are in disrepair, with potholes, poor lane markings, and other hazards that can disrupt the operation of self-driving vehicles.

Greg McGuire, a researcher at the University of Michigan, notes that connected vehicles are a key part of the solution. These vehicles can communicate with each other and with traffic infrastructure, allowing them to interact with the world around them in a more seamless way.

However, even with connected vehicles, there are still many challenges to overcome. Governments will need to define what weather conditions are safe for fully-autonomous vehicles to operate in, and they will need to establish rules for how these vehicles interact with traditional cars on the road.

Ayoub Aouad, a researcher at the University of Michigan, notes that the government's role in regulating self-driving vehicles is still evolving. As the technology becomes more widespread, the federal government will need to get involved and address issues such as liability and job displacement.

Despite these challenges, experts like Bryan Reimer and Greg McGuire are optimistic about the potential for self-driving technology to improve road safety and reduce congestion. However, they caution that it will take several decades for fully-autonomous cars to become a reality.

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