A yet-to-be-released poll indicates that Mohammadu Buhari and Goodluck Jonathan, the two leading contenders in Nigeria’s February 14 presidential elections, are running neck-to-neck. Another analysis by Zainab Usman and Oliver Owen of Oxford University projects a possible run-off. Meanwhile, Frontier markets consultancy DaMina Advisors predicts that Buhari, the opposition candidate, will win by a slim margin.
These scenarios are notable in a country where incumbent presidents have historically won by a landslide, making no outcome certain this time.
